Online Webinar
Date: 12 March 2025
Time: 14:00 - 15:00 (UTC)
Speaker: Dr Tim Reilly 

Early signs of the new US policy toward Russia — including driving down global energy costs and applying further sanctions — will be felt directly by the Kremlin in the Arctic. Massive LNG projects such as Novatek LNG — on the Yamal Peninsula where China is still an investor, and which was designed to feed NE Asian markets — are now being severely sanctioned. This is intended to both deny Russia the world’s biggest LNG market  and  undermine the Sino-Russian strategic relationship in the Arctic and Northern Hemisphere.

To do so Washington also seeks to: 

• undermine Beijing’s economic case for developing the Northern Sea Route linking Asia with the EU; and
• disrupt China’s attempts to use IoT instruments to assert political governance and influence over the region from ungoverned space, instead of via terrestrial regional forums such as the Arctic Council.

The briefing will address:

• NATO's impact on the Arctic;
• The arrival of the BRICS in the region;
• The implications of confining China and now Russia in the Pacific Arctic;
• Hybrid sub-threshold level warfare throughout the emerging Eurasian Arctic;
• The instrumentalisation of climate frameworks for geopolitical ends;
• The morphing of the Sino-Russian relationship from a geoeconomic partnership in the Arctic to a strategic alliance in space.

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